0xfddc80e4eb8a0106ad56907daa07ea4bf55d4451
0xfddc80e4eb8a0106ad56907daa07ea4bf55d4451
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-29.15
Win rate
23%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
80 shares @ 8.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.00
$7.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 4?
160 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on June 4?
160 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 3?
137 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-68.48
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 3?
137 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on June 3?
137 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 3?
137 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on June 4?
125 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 14?
120 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.91
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 26?
120 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 13?$3.78Jul 6, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 13?$1.77Jul 6, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 9?$1.20Jul 6, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 10?$0.08Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 10?$1.98Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 8?$1.50Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 8?$2.90Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 9?$0.24Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?$1.43Jul 6, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 13?$4.00Jul 6, 18:37 UTC
- CONVERSIONSolana price on July 13?$40.00Jul 6, 16:29 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Solana be less than $40 on July 13?$40.00Jul 6, 16:29 UTC
- CONVERSIONEthereum price on July 13?$40.00Jul 6, 16:28 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on July 13?$40.00Jul 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 10?$0.13Jul 6, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 10?$0.25Jul 6, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 11?$2.20Jul 6, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 8?$0.09Jul 5, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 8?$0.07Jul 5, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 10?$12.40Jul 5, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
52 closed markets, 23% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.