Ill-Fated-Plain
0xfde3b7307583c9f7f3a30b1c0c6ef4c557270303
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$6.23
Total PnL
$-103.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.26
$0.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on June 5?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$1.08
$0.05
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$1.04
$0.02
- YES
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 51.4¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- UNDER
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5
205 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-102.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$1.00Jun 5, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.11Jun 5, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on June 5?$1.00Jun 5, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5?$1.01Jun 5, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?$1.03Jun 5, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?$1.02Jun 5, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$36.40Jun 5, 01:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$1.03May 26, 06:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".