Alive-Prescription
0xfde4024c40168d8e37a38c4601d7d2c2a5d2603e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-837.50
Realised
$50.37
Win rate
81%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
632 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7AM ET
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11AM ET
584 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
459 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11AM ET
339 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- UP
BNB Up or Down - June 30, 4PM ET
311 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5PM ET
284 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.28Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$65.55Jul 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.07Jul 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.07Jul 21, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Jul 20, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$68.37Jul 20, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$50.94Jul 20, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$3.19Jul 20, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$53.89Jul 20, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$43.61Jul 20, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$45.48Jul 20, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$40.36Jul 20, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6PM ET$0.95Jul 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6PM ET$2.14Jul 20, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.07Jul 20, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.14Jul 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$44.75Jul 20, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$30.78Jul 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.24Jul 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.12Jul 20, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.