Muted-Assurance
0xfde9a087c29a30066385989c201a97a8666ca1d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$162.77
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 29?
10389 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-235.84
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 29?
5575 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-403.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 17?
5076 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-296.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 12?
2550 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-73.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 28?
1898 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-131.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 10PM ET
1279 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-229.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 24?
1031 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-211.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 28?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 17?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address?
888 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-312.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$24.49May 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$5.20May 13, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$4.10May 13, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$24.50May 13, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$35.81May 10, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$25.55May 10, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.28May 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.23May 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.19May 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.18May 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.26May 10, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$48.00May 10, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$21.59May 10, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$21.59May 10, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?$1.69May 10, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET$26.19May 9, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.24May 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.08May 9, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$10.87May 9, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.17May 9, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".