Scarce-Contribution
0xfdea020c322e6aaffbde73e974b1f17934a8b5d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-355.82
Realised
$47.25
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
464 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
90 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
90 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
86 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
80 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
78 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
78 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-38.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.50Jul 28, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.41Jul 28, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$14.29Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.21Jul 28, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.61Jul 28, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$7.38Jul 28, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.92Jul 28, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET$40.24Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$10.43Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 12PM ET$10.53Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$20.83Jul 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$10.36Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$10.54Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$24.24Jul 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$24.02Jul 28, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$9.02Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$10.55Jul 28, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.