Grounded-Temple
0xfdefa13c4a178795bd68573414bb0a28ac267f96
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-50.79
Win rate
3%
183 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Montevideo City Torque vs. Danubio FC end in a draw?
295 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
187 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-08?
120 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
118 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
118 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Deportivo Saprissa vs. AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón end in a draw?$17.38Jul 25, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dash vs. Bay FC end in a draw?$9.00Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando Pride vs. Chicago Stars FC end in a draw?$1.48Jul 25, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Orlando Pride vs. Chicago Stars FC end in a draw?$15.13Jul 25, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montevideo City Torque vs. Danubio FC end in a draw?$1.05Jul 24, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montevideo City Torque vs. Danubio FC end in a draw?$1.05Jul 24, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montevideo City Torque vs. Danubio FC end in a draw?$5.22Jul 24, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montevideo City Torque vs. Danubio FC end in a draw?$3.69Jul 24, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montevideo City Torque vs. Danubio FC end in a draw?$10.33Jul 24, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso end in a draw?$4.15Jul 24, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?$6.21Jul 24, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Progreso end in a draw?$6.23Jul 24, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF end in a draw?$2.09Jul 24, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Alianza Atlético vs. CD Los Chankas end in a draw?$3.11Jul 24, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?$3.10Jul 24, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Ujpest FC Budapest end in a draw?$1.04Jul 24, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Arda Kardzhali vs. PFC Slavia Sofia end in a draw?$2.07Jul 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC vs. Ujpest FC Budapest end in a draw?$2.07Jul 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viborg FF vs. Odense BK end in a draw?$2.07Jul 24, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FA Siauliai vs. FC Hegelmann Kaunas end in a draw?$1.04Jul 24, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 183 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
183 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 183 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.