Overlooked-Means
0xfdf347c62cc8de86e17951e78fd53bfaac342583
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-40.5K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
55%
195 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?
647 shares @ 82.6¢·now 87.7¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$567.13
$32.67
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?
386 shares @ 86.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$363.49
$29.96
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 30?
371 shares @ 76.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$220.70
$-63.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
353 shares @ 57.2¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$202.72
$0.97
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 30?
339 shares @ 55.5¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$184.88
$-3.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29?
381 shares @ 36.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$154.29
$16.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?
417 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$30.63
$-27.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?
334 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.19
$-4.66
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 28?
700 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.35
$-168.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?
5056 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-709.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$1.03Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?$23.00Jul 28, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?$0.22Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?$770.50Jul 28, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 28?$418.88Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 28?$34.98Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 28?$38.33Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$1.14Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$566.60Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 28?$24.99Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$93.53Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$1.1KJul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$4.66Jul 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$28.00Jul 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?$18.26Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?$23.24Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$5.35Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?$20.00Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31?$48.50Jul 28, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?$1.56Jul 28, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 195 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
195 closed markets, 55% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $9.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 195 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.