Punctual-Cirrus
0xfdf49efd86836c0e019cb0ee1bc8205b827edf5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-143.47
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 13?
2064 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 12?
159 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 12?
153 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?
138 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-55.04
- YES
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-13?
44 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on March 14?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 13?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
22 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
22 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 15?
18 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 15?$6.46Mar 15, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$8.89Mar 14, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$0.80Mar 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$3.60Mar 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$5.54Mar 14, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$2.00Mar 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$4.80Mar 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$0.80Mar 14, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$4.00Mar 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$5.20Mar 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$3.33Mar 14, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$3.20Mar 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$4.88Mar 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$4.00Mar 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$2.00Mar 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 15?$2.00Mar 14, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 14?$60.84Mar 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-13?$7.00Mar 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 13?$2.00Mar 13, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on March 14?$5.00Mar 13, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.