Ragged-Cooperation
0xfdf6d5390e3f8c1b2054ded0f631a282c4f66348
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 14?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?
1033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 26?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CARDINALS
Titans vs. Cardinals
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$84.08Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$84.00Jun 8, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$84.08May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$84.01May 28, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$84.08May 28, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$84.00May 22, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$84.08May 22, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$84.00May 12, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.08May 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.00May 7, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$84.08May 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$84.00May 3, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$84.08May 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?$84.00Apr 26, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 22?$84.08Apr 26, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 22?$84.00Apr 22, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$83.16Apr 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$83.00Apr 17, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 15?$83.08Apr 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 15?$83.00Apr 14, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $77.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.