Urban-Needle
0xfe00130efb5fe3cd9edcf84d947d5ec9128588a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.08
Total PnL
$-149.40
Realised
$-9.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-3.92
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
39540 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.45
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 27?
298 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be 11-13 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?
197 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
92 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$2.90Mar 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 22)$4.00Mar 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.00Mar 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.00Mar 14, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$4.00Mar 14, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$18.18Mar 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$6.00Mar 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Mar 1, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Yemen next?$0.00Mar 1, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Yemen next?$0.00Mar 1, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Feb 28, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$18.75Feb 28, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 16, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 16, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?$5.00Feb 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 18:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 19:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".