Insistent-Observatory
0xfe0251d7bcb734f98d3f0f559220b5478b26e4ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$83.00
Total PnL
$1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$82.05Jun 23, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$81.58Jun 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$81.50May 21, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$82.00May 21, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$81.92Apr 23, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of March?$81.91Apr 23, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of March?$81.09Mar 3, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple reach $316 in February?$82.29Mar 3, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple reach $316 in February?$82.13Feb 27, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $880 in January?$10.00Feb 27, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $35 in January?$13.00Feb 27, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of January?$15.51Feb 27, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$22.13Feb 27, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon dip to $156 in January?$25.60Feb 27, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$22.09Jan 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $12 end of January?$15.42Jan 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon dip to $156 in January?$25.52Jan 14, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix dip to $35 in January?$12.95Jan 14, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta reach $880 in January?$9.98Jan 14, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Rostov win on 2025-11-23?$0.00Dec 6, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $35.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 10:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.