Cautious-Realization
0xfe032f5271c569ce37d1f18f77a7520db469b0a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$300.00
Total PnL
$-259.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$300.00
$72.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
300 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-281.40
- NO
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
300 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
50 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-38.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$228.00Mar 15, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$21.20Mar 15, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$3.90Mar 15, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$10.04Mar 15, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$3.35Mar 15, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$300.00Mar 15, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$293.70Feb 18, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$281.40Feb 18, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia$100.00Feb 18, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group C - USA vs. Germany$150.00Feb 18, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 16?$200.00Feb 18, 18:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.06Feb 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 16?$193.40Feb 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group C - USA vs. Germany$136.50Feb 15, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia$75.00Feb 15, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00Feb 15, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$49.99Feb 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$24.96Feb 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$7.52Feb 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$7.01Feb 15, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $102.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.