Modest-Bungalow
0xfe0692781b1b3a77435ccabf4b7a9f9f129984a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.22
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.22
$0.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
9655 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
3777 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2999 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2968 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1533 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-766.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-750.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.04Mar 26, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$3.00Mar 26, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$3.07Mar 26, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$3.00Feb 5, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$3.00Feb 5, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 5, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.04Feb 5, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.05Feb 5, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Feb 5, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 5, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$2.03Dec 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 3, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$1.00Nov 27, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.7KNov 11, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$1.7KNov 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$4.8KNov 11, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $657.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 04:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".