0xfe06a5e6c3c08a64d90d1f02127fbc67c98c1f66
0xfe06a5e6c3c08a64d90d1f02127fbc67c98c1f66
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$29.53
Total PnL
$-78.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$19.98
$12.79
- NO
City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.46
$-0.39
- NO
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on April 29?
463 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?
38 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-18.72
- YES
Will Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
27 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
- NO
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (HIGH) $645 Week of April 13 2026?
23 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 6?
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on April 18?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.77Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?$9.80Jul 14, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?$8.92Jul 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$2.73Jul 10, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$3.71Jul 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Love Island USA be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$7.80Jul 9, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?$7.19Jul 9, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?$0.00Jul 1, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?$0.00Jun 28, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?$9.00Jun 17, 23:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.55Jun 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?$4.77Jun 16, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?$1.69Jun 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?$0.42Jun 16, 12:42 UTC
- REWARD$1.55Jun 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?$3.00Jun 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?$3.00Jun 15, 21:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.71Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCity Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch?$8.86Jun 13, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.03May 16, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.