0xfe146f653d030746d69afc8c4d51a008dc65fcff
0xfe146f653d030746d69afc8c4d51a008dc65fcff
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.95
Total PnL
$-36.25
Realised
$-1.24
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$6.95
$1.11
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?
120 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?
22 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET
18 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?$5.88May 20, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?$6.44May 20, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?$5.88May 19, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?$9.81May 15, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$9.80May 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$13.29May 14, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?$12.08May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET$7.83May 14, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$8.76May 14, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 14?$6.90May 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 14?$5.00May 14, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET$5.30May 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET$4.76May 14, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?$7.84May 14, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?$9.59May 13, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$9.88May 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?$9.57May 13, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $7.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.