0xfe1bf68434a0ec32484a4588f94e02398505084e
0xfe1bf68434a0ec32484a4588f94e02398505084e
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$7.05
Total PnL
$-67.61
Realised
$-2.66
Win rate
0%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 17 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-22?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-08-19?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- OVER
New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UNDER
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- OVER
Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JELENA OSTAPENKO
Cincinnati Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frech
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
SS Lazio vs. Mantova 1911: O/U 4.5
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 17 2026?$1.03Aug 18, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Palestino win on 2026-08-17?$1.04Aug 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?$1.03Aug 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Palestino win on 2026-08-17?$1.01Aug 18, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$1.35Aug 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5$1.06Aug 17, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMClub Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5$1.16Aug 17, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5$1.02Aug 17, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?$1.23Aug 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5$1.02Aug 17, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.04Aug 17, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill CF América win on 2026-08-16?$1.96Aug 17, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$1.02Aug 17, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: CF América 1 - 0 Atlético San Luis?$1.11Aug 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-16?$1.06Aug 17, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: CF América (-1.5)$1.11Aug 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toronto FC win on 2026-08-19?$1.03Aug 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF América (-1.5)$1.01Aug 17, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?$1.82Aug 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5$1.04Aug 16, 23:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
59 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.