Trained-Joy
0xfe1d44fb6f2a1b0576fe01fd0120ca0bbc3bc011
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$53.00
Total PnL
$-766.04
Realised
$-2.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.00 in September?
1143 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome before before August?
1034 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.03
- YES
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
1000 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-354.00
- YES
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.27
- YES
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.00-3.25 in September?
502 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-108.43
- YES
Will Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
300 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$8.11May 22, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$98.20Mar 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$91.04Mar 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$60.03Mar 11, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$29.13Mar 11, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$98.82Mar 11, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$99.99Mar 2, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?$75.00Feb 26, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$75.00Feb 26, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.38Feb 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.94Feb 9, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.72Feb 9, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.37Feb 9, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$28.38Feb 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$27.90Feb 9, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$10.00Feb 8, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$99.70Feb 8, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$0.00Feb 8, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$354.00Feb 8, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$80.00Feb 1, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $73.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.