Stained-Sanctuary
0xfe22885a6101dab7290c361eeba951378aa36fbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-134.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will XRP reach $2.40 in March?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 24?
306 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 12?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in February 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?
107 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 18?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.90Jun 6, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.99Jun 6, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 4, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 4, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?$4.00Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 31?$0.15May 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 31?$0.24May 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 31?$0.14May 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 31?$0.59May 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 31?$0.64May 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 1?$1.03May 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 1?$1.04May 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 1?$1.04May 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 1?$1.04May 30, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.