Disastrous-Certificate
0xfe29d5c87ec0b3e03cb9f65e316a953137ebe345
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.32
Total PnL
$-17.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$0.02
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 24?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on April 14?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on April 26?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 20?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$92.68Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$92.60Jun 11, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11?$2.31Jun 11, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11?$2.31Jun 11, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$97.20May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$97.10May 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$97.10May 26, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$97.00May 23, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$97.00May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 16?$96.91May 15, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$96.89May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$96.70May 13, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$96.70May 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$96.60May 10, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$96.65May 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$96.51May 6, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$96.53May 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$96.43Apr 28, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$96.43Apr 28, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$96.34Apr 24, 08:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $78.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.