Overcooked-Rose
0xfe2ba5463a5f353f301ee6e63a2a6fc7f1dea481
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$283.21
Total PnL
$-656.17
Realised
$-19.53
Win rate
0%
136 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 19?
18 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$18.18
$12.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?
18 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$17.63
$11.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 19?
18 shares @ 34.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$17.38
$11.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 19?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$15.10
$9.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?
23 shares @ 26.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$10.27
$4.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$10.18
$4.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$9.68
$3.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$9.20
$3.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$8.46
$2.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20?
20 shares @ 24.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$8.40
$3.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 20?$7.23Aug 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 20?$4.20Aug 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 21?$1.25Aug 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 21?$7.26Aug 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 21?$3.11Aug 19, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 19?$7.56Aug 19, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?$23.08Aug 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 21?$1.76Aug 19, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19?$13.89Aug 19, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?$7.24Aug 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 20?$1.55Aug 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 21?$7.26Aug 19, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 21?$7.25Aug 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 20?$6.11Aug 19, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 20?$7.24Aug 19, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 21?$7.25Aug 19, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?$1.65Aug 19, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?$18.75Aug 19, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 136 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
136 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 136 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.