Supportive-Wharf
0xfe325c29fd7ced08a2cf85d7f1ee527108b9a0e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-279.24
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 27?
890 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 8?
644 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-23.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 28?
504 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-298.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 2?
375 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-47.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 5?
368 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 9?
310 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-34.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?
301 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-256.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 8?
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-101.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 9?
276 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-77.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?$0.00Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 29?$0.00Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?$21.06Apr 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 23?$20.00Apr 23, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 22?$29.75Apr 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.30Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.20Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$0.50Apr 23, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$10.00Apr 23, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 23?$2.38Apr 23, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?$5.00Apr 22, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $24.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.