Intentional-Importance
0xfe3bbe8525676f73c7a563a25bf1135628755a41
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-670.22
Realised
$-24.54
Win rate
0%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- OVER
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5
421 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- OVER
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 6.5 Corners
380 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-232.00
- OVER
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5
353 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 17?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 7.5 Corners
211 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-103.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
197 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
157 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 20?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 10?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 16?
83 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRomelu Lukaku: 1+ goals AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$24.00Jul 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsmaïla Sarr: 1+ goals AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$24.99Jul 1, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 2.5 Corners AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5 AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 AND Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals AND Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$30.00Jul 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5$16.46Jul 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5$100.85Jul 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: England O/U 7.5 Corners$104.91Jul 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. DR Congo: England O/U 6.5 Corners$234.71Jul 1, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.60Jun 24, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9AM ET$5.22Jun 23, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.13Jun 23, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$4.35Jun 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$2.08Jun 23, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.07Jun 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.08Jun 23, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.14Jun 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.93Jun 23, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.26Jun 23, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6AM ET$15.98Jun 23, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.03Jun 23, 10:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
49 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $15.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.