Adorable-Initial
0xfe41e6fc51a57520aaa18e15eaf665c1801c556c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$15.7K
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7593 shares @ 84.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.2K
$775.83
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
5190 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.0K
$257.68
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
5601 shares @ 91.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.1K
$-2.0K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
476 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$307.14
$7.14
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
278 shares @ 71.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$209.92
$9.92
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
5102 shares @ 80.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.55
$-4.1K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
2278 shares @ 75.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?
389 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
128 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$300.00Jun 8, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$200.00Jun 8, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$548.68Jun 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$497.42Jun 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$29.00Jun 4, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.87Jun 4, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$246.31Jun 3, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$361.88Jun 3, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$334.33Jun 3, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$201.88Jun 2, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Jun 1, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$33.78Jun 1, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.31Jun 1, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$25.45Jun 1, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1000.00Jun 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.7KJun 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.7KJun 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$5.1KJun 1, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.4KJun 1, 21:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $820.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.