Plaintive-Management
0xfe448f68e26c5322fe536e6f22afc885d3668189
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-530.41
Realised
$-8.29
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on June 27?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?
770 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.52
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
470 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?
400 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?
234 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
193 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-79.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
108 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-57.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
90 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
80 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.24
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
55 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-28.60
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$13.42Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$14.80Aug 12, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$38.03Aug 12, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$59.99Aug 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.95Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.99Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.95Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.05Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.05Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.26Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.24Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.50Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.65Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.70Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.75Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$2.60Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.05Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.