Wallet digest

active

Activity score

60/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.3K

Realised

$-750.86

Win rate

75%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 35

YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
35335 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024
$0.00
$-247.35
YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
28150 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-297.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9PM ET
2557 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025
$0.00
$-85.13
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11AM ET
2089 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025
$0.00
$-30.89
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2PM ET
800 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025
$0.00
$-19.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5AM ET
700 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7AM ET
580 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025
$0.00
$-5.80
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8AM ET
500 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025
$0.00
$-124.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1PM ET
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025
$0.00
$-25.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$56.53Dec 31, 13:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$2.00Dec 31, 13:51 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$10.00Dec 31, 13:22 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$2.00Dec 31, 13:22 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$1.28Dec 31, 13:21 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$1.20Dec 31, 13:21 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$8.00Dec 31, 13:15 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$100.00Dec 31, 11:34 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$0.45Dec 31, 11:33 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$6.61Dec 31, 11:33 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 31?$3.30Dec 31, 11:33 UTC
TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$591.49Dec 23, 01:25 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.35Dec 22, 23:05 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$15.56Dec 22, 22:57 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.08Dec 22, 22:52 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$95.89Dec 22, 22:52 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$154.00Dec 22, 22:47 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.76Dec 22, 22:41 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.17Dec 22, 22:40 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$73.52Dec 22, 22:34 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry9 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $26.71
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 22, 20:13 UTC
Last active: Dec 31, 13:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:45:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data