Altruistic-Shaw
0xfe495635aad93a476355c5ce38ae0af530197a4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$-62.85
Realised
$90.09
Win rate
81%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2500 shares @ 85.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$122.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$10.00
- NO
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
1001 shares @ 95.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$954.20
$0.00
- NO
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
1012 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$915.82
$5.36
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1028 shares @ 71.5¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$909.13
$174.22
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
2000 shares @ 22.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$350.00
$-100.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
333 shares @ 66.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$294.70
$74.92
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
250 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$249.13
$21.63
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 87.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$192.50
$-25.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
363 shares @ 42.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.22
$1.81
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$37.05Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$50.01Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$110.52Jun 14, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$26.25Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$4.46Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- REWARD$7.27Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.2KJun 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$11.16Jun 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KJun 13, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.16Jun 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 18, 2026?$1.57Jun 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 13, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$151.47Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.81Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$10.77Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$0.64Jun 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.84Jun 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.88Jun 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$8.00Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $145.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.