Old-Tenth
0xfe4ebf6cc550ff93bd9b7571d03573e91b8163cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$162.28
Total PnL
$-188.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.94
$0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.94
$0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.94
$0.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.94
$0.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.93
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.92
$1.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.92
$1.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$4.88
$0.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 24?
5 shares @ 82.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.46
$0.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 24?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.40
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?$3.94Jul 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?$3.31Jul 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 24?$4.23Jul 23, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on July 25?$2.02Jul 23, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?$2.13Jul 23, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 22?$4.92Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 22?$4.93Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 22?$4.94Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on July 22?$2.45Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on July 22?$2.47Jul 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 25?$1.97Jul 23, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 24?$3.11Jul 23, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 24?$4.23Jul 23, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 25?$1.78Jul 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 25?$2.00Jul 23, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 24?$4.28Jul 23, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?$4.93Jul 23, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 22?$4.93Jul 23, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 25?$3.40Jul 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 25?$1.84Jul 23, 04:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.