Plush-Nectarine
0xfe4f0358691403143c84926f37981a1ddcba50df
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$8.03
Total PnL
$-18.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mattertrades win the Defi App trading competition?$1.00Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Himself in 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.01Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Jan 15, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 4, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?$1.00Dec 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 24?$1.00Dec 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?$1.00Dec 12, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 12, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?$1.01Dec 11, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $210.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 04:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".