Beneficial-Almanac
0xfe5100c5eaffbe3d78dab426aef9335051441980
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
12000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2025$0.00
$-59.66
- YES
Will the Progressive Conservatives win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?
11251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2025$0.00
$-42.53
- NO
Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?
7000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2025$0.00
$-55.78
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
5085 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-92.12
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
3555 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-737.28
- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3402 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
1652 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-100.80
- NO
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?
967 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
629 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-205.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
627 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Conservatives win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$8.08Feb 27, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Conservatives win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$34.00Feb 27, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Ontario election?$55.78Feb 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Conservatives win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$0.46Feb 27, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?$59.66Feb 27, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$325.00Feb 20, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$90.00Feb 7, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$69.28Feb 7, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$75.00Feb 6, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$144.00Feb 6, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$114.00Feb 2, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$52.74Feb 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$3.60Feb 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$3.60Feb 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$24.97Jan 29, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$67.15Jan 29, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$2.00Nov 16, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$3.00Nov 16, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$15.00Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$30.00Nov 16, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $89.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 23:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.