Critical-Percentage
0xfe5bdb4e99c637c53a7eea83ea1e6b72da6ababf
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$968.79
Total PnL
$15.09
Realised
$3.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
199 shares @ 72.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.53
$39.53
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
127 shares @ 69.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.88
$10.88
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
107 shares @ 88.4¢·now 91.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.57
$3.57
- NO
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
97 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.23
$1.27
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
225 shares @ 34.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$77.65
$0.93
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
72 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$63.98
$3.98
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
64 shares @ 70.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.82
$-4.18
- NO
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
39 shares @ 83.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$33.91
$0.91
- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
68 shares @ 51.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.73
$-2.27
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
34 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$27.50
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$20.176h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$100.286h ago
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$20.366h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$30.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$30.137h ago
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$20.177h ago
- REDEEMWill Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?$326.697h ago
- TRADEBUYZendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?$55.157h ago
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by April 30?$71.697h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$80.297h ago
- TRADEBUYSteve Bannon exonerated by June 30?$25.507h ago
- TRADESELLSteve Bannon exonerated by April 30?$111.777h ago
- TRADEBUYCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$23.177h ago
- TRADESELLCritical Discord Incident by April 30?$23.897h ago
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.942d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$15.002d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$25.002d ago
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$29.902d ago
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$14.082d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".