Submissive-Brownie
0xfe6ac0254fe43a5018be2ebd6e9dea016e6d4d84
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-118.95
Win rate
0%
198 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
6075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 28?
5010 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C or below on June 29?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
234 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
227 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
193 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
191 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-149.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
186 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will AutoSleep: Watch Sleep Tracker be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?
166 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.22Aug 16, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.01Aug 16, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.18Aug 15, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.01Aug 15, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.15Aug 15, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.01Aug 15, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.18Aug 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.01Aug 15, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.50Aug 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.04Aug 15, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.37Aug 15, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.02Aug 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.02Aug 15, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.25Aug 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.01Aug 14, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.12Aug 14, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.01Aug 14, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.02Aug 14, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.12Aug 13, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.01Aug 13, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 198 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
198 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 198 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.