0xfe6accda0a2cd00e7f2ac40ac852d86853b95511
0xfe6accda0a2cd00e7f2ac40ac852d86853b95511
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$30.68
Total PnL
$8.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$7.69
$5.69
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
7 shares @ 28.1¢·now 84.4¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$6.00
$4.00
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$2.80
$0.80
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.77
$0.77
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.48
$0.48
- NO
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.61
$-0.39
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.94
$-1.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?$0.00Aug 6, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.02Aug 6, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?$2.06Aug 6, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 6?$2.06Aug 6, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?$0.00Aug 6, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?$2.63Aug 6, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?$2.06Aug 6, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$4.44Aug 5, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?$2.50Aug 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?$2.06Aug 5, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$2.04Aug 5, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$5.71Aug 5, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 5, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?$2.06Aug 4, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$2.08Aug 4, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$2.00Aug 3, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?$2.02Aug 3, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.