Fast-Mallet
0xfe6bd9872614a7123781275901edbf412095ca57
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$70.08
Total PnL
$-68.47
Realised
$-1.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
15 shares @ 42.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.17
$-1.13
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.25
$1.35
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.92
$0.38
- NO
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$0.45
- NO
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.47
$1.12
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 10.2¢·now 38.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.45
$2.54
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
13 shares @ 17.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.31
$1.04
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$-0.37
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.20
$-0.60
- NO
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$0.73Jul 13, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$0.29Jul 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$1.01Jul 12, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Stavky by July 31?$4.83Jul 12, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$1.08Jul 12, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.75Jul 10, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.90Jul 9, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.07Jul 8, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.15Jul 8, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$1.50Jul 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1.00Jul 7, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$2.15Jul 7, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.03Jul 7, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 8?$1.07Jul 7, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$1.06Jul 7, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.02Jul 7, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$1.08Jul 7, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran successfully targets shipping by July 7?$5.00Jul 7, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?$1.75Jul 5, 10:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 05:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.