Straight-Tepee
0xfe6d24f908ade4171436af42b630d3e7f2fc0446
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$355.74
Total PnL
$-94.41
Realised
$29.85
Win rate
58%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.65
$0.45
- NO
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 75.9¢·now 80.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$80.15
$4.25
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
50 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.25
$5.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 24.1¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.85
$-4.25
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
10 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.79
$0.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
10920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
6702 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
3271 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?
2715 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.16
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.