Grubby-Willow
0xfe6f8978edf55ca651a1e58f9ecd0aa2cb796511
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$18.32
Total PnL
$-255.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?
1932 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.75
$2.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 26?
1440 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.60
$-1.40
- NO
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 26?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 26?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.05May 25, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00May 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.18May 25, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.15May 25, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00May 25, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$11.11May 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.19May 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on May 26?$1.05May 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 26?$1.05May 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 26?$1.05May 25, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$1.05May 25, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or higher on May 26?$5.25May 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 26?$5.25May 25, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.00May 25, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.17May 25, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00May 25, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$4.85May 25, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.04May 25, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.04May 25, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$0.00May 25, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".