Adolescent-Million
0xfe733916d37a3d2c66ffa83fa8c342b956ba1c5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-29.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
8556 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-69.99
- YES
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
3201 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
2101 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-441.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1196 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-243.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
1139 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Suns
1115 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1058 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Knicks
938 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
922 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
875 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$48.00Feb 1, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner$20.00Feb 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner$20.00Feb 1, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner$30.00Feb 1, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$118.00Feb 1, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$142.97Jan 31, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$313.00Jan 31, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$243.00Jan 31, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMRangers vs. Islanders$3.5KJan 29, 09:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Islanders$2.0KJan 28, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$35.00Jan 28, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?$483.88Jan 28, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Wizards$0.00Jan 28, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Wizards$483.87Jan 28, 16:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?$88.62Jan 27, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$75.00Jan 27, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Suns$140.00Jan 27, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Wizards$150.00Jan 27, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $251.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".