Realistic-Fork
0xfe758255f7f748e9e6c13040e87553cb76e12689
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
2377 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
1112 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
1064 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
1034 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$50.00Sep 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$50.00Sep 22, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$100.00Sep 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?$100.00Sep 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$100.00Sep 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$100.00Sep 22, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Sep 22, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Sep 22, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$200.00Sep 22, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$51.57Nov 6, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$100.00Nov 6, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$105.00Nov 6, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$450.00Nov 6, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $950.00Nov 6, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?$364.28Nov 6, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.9KNov 6, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.6KNov 6, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?$0.00Nov 4, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in September?$0.00Nov 4, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by September 18?$0.00Nov 4, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $400.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 21:30 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".