Fragrant-Past
0xfe81688c861bd4614d995594f04ac49430a7f81e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$54.70
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
66 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.70
$4.97
- NEGATIVE
Ethereum ETF Flows on January 12?
3001 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
323 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-80.83
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-39.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$80.83Feb 9, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$49.73Feb 5, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$39.75Feb 5, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$104.60Feb 5, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$100.00Jan 11, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF Flows on January 12?$2.8KJan 11, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alberta vote for independence in 2025?$31.49Jan 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2025?$30.30Aug 1, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$30.30Aug 1, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$30.18Feb 22, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$30.18Feb 22, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?$29.70Jan 17, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$29.70Jan 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$29.55Dec 16, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$7.43Nov 26, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$0.17Nov 26, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$0.14Nov 26, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$0.13Nov 26, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$0.13Nov 26, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Villarreal CF win La Liga?$0.12Nov 26, 11:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $70.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".