Open-Locality
0xfe81a06bff4abff544cd2e78d69f9e8a312de1ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$30.00
Total PnL
$-38.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$30.00
$18.60
- YES
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
90 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.61
- YES
Taylor Lorenz leaves WaPo in August?
70 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.20
- NO
Will Kamala say "abortion" at debate?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
40 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?
40 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?
30 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will Kamala say "unrealized" at debate?
30 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-6.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "unrealized" at debate?$6.90Sep 10, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?$7.60Sep 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?$11.40Sep 10, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "DEI" at debate?$2.40Sep 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?$8.70Sep 10, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "abortion" at debate?$4.50Sep 10, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend?$3.00Aug 25, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$0.88Aug 24, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "Brain Worm" during Friday address?$0.00Aug 24, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "Endorse" during Friday address?$0.00Aug 24, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "CIA" during Friday address?$10.00Aug 24, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "Endorse" during Friday address?$10.00Aug 24, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. say "Brain Worm" during Friday address?$1.05Aug 23, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?$0.00Aug 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?$0.40Aug 22, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?$0.00Aug 22, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Project 2025" during DNC speech?$1.95Aug 22, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?$0.80Aug 22, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".