Watchful-Scissors
0xfe85ca32bda8450cdcf47af1d06199982eafdd86
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have less than 270m views on September 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
20 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- SOUTH AFRICA
Cricket: England vs. South Africa (Match 3)
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on February 19?$10.00May 9, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?$20.00May 9, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.02Feb 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$4.98Feb 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 19?$6.00Feb 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$19.00Feb 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET$9.70Feb 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET$6.20Feb 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?$0.96Feb 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by March 15?$17.00Feb 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$17.20Feb 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" have less than 270m views on September 23?$1.00Sep 6, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG II' have over 160k sales in its first week?$1.00Sep 6, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$1.00Sep 6, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "iPhone" 50+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?$1.00Sep 6, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCricket: England vs. South Africa (Match 3) $2.00Sep 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?$2.00Sep 6, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.03Sep 6, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$8.30Sep 6, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00Jun 21, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 23:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".