Rigid-Verdict
0xfe8a25fa06e17c9effcf7716410b2423315c76e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?
3400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- UP
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?
575 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on January 30?
329 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
82 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
38 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$2.33Feb 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRaptors vs. Bulls$2.32Feb 20, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Bulls$3.78Feb 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?$1.15Feb 19, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$19.00Feb 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?$1.20Jan 31, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.25Jan 31, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 30, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 30?$3.40Jan 30, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on January 30?$9.40Jan 30, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 30?$1.00Jan 30, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".