Untried-Neighborhood
0xfe8ea86e81f19ec553657461417d25cceeb427ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-228.44
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?
2908 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-135.92
- NO
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?
2053 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-96.68
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?
1860 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-137.42
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?
960 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-163.15
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
715 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.12
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?
671 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-87.18
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?
547 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-60.21
- YES
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2025-12-14?
464 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-74.30
- YES
Will Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?
409 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-148.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$3.72Apr 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$3.03Apr 29, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?$4.06Apr 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$4.08Apr 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?$5.11Apr 29, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mexico" or "Mexican" 5+ times during the medal presentation on December 15?$0.00Apr 27, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?$76.68Mar 2, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?$20.00Mar 2, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$6.52Feb 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5$6.52Feb 7, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5$15.22Feb 7, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?$15.22Feb 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?$12.77Feb 7, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?$12.78Feb 7, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?$11.22Feb 7, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?$11.22Feb 7, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?$11.65Feb 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?$11.65Feb 1, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?$10.76Feb 1, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?$10.77Feb 1, 15:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $51.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".