Best-Tenth
0xfe93ae14691c3778025484c4cd14b4277ca70d83
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.7K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
67%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 11?
7388 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- 9Z
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
5538 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
2563 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-573.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
1725 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
1707 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
1587 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-360.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
1496 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
1468 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
1425 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
1348 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-274.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$30.49Jul 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 17?$25.22Jul 17, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?$21.76Jul 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16?$20.08Jul 16, 01:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 15?$6.10Jul 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 15?$4.52Jul 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 15?$19.48Jul 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?$13.89Jul 15, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?$3.29Jul 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?$1.79Jul 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 15?$13.91Jul 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 15?$19.31Jul 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 15?$27.00Jul 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 16?$18.66Jul 15, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$0.22Jul 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 15?$20.68Jul 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 15?$30.11Jul 15, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 15?$1.00Jul 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 15?$2.10Jul 15, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 17:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.