Relieved-Owl
0xfe9a2f10eb20be2e1ed454b2605062f0c9075c75
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-705.36
Realised
$-44.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
7000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
865 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-449.72
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?
400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
310 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.78
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
250 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
205 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.35
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
130 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-48.10
- YES
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$220.00Feb 8, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$100.00Oct 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$49.61Oct 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$57.59Oct 2, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$64.45Sep 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$39.17Sep 30, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$137.16Sep 30, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$106.05Sep 30, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$78.30Sep 18, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$29.31Sep 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$100.00Sep 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$14.58Sep 16, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by December 31?$28.00Sep 16, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$36.45Sep 16, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$110.00Sep 3, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$37.00Sep 2, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$9.00Sep 2, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$9.00Sep 2, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$10.00Sep 2, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President in 2025?$25.00Sep 2, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $47.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.