Defiant-Carp
0xfe9ca9209ef7a0c6be557aebdf2f2b39931902b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?
1351 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" at debate?
988 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-48.40
- YES
Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?
682 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2024$0.00
$-218.14
- YES
Will Trump say "alien" 5 or more times at debate?
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "unrealized" at debate?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?
83 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$35.94Nov 16, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1000.00Nov 13, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.1KNov 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.0KNov 6, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $55,000 on September 13?$218.14Sep 11, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Harris shake hands at first debate?$0.00Sep 11, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win the debate according to polls?$3.15Sep 11, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Springfield" at debate?$214.98Sep 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" at debate?$48.40Sep 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "liar" at debate?$500.00Sep 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "DEI" at debate?$50.00Sep 9, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Springfield" at debate?$50.00Sep 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Harris shake hands at first debate?$50.00Sep 9, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?$100.00Sep 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "unrealized" at debate?$50.00Sep 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win the debate according to polls?$50.00Sep 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate?$50.00Sep 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "alien" 5 or more times at debate?$50.00Sep 9, 18:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".