Uniform-Impropriety
0xfea14d09bd835fe6797d6149d536b5c74990002c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-119.04
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
136 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-35.67
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
120 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Athletic Bilbao win on 2025-09-16?
63 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NATIONALS
Braves vs. Nationals
52 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Athletic Bilbao vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
25 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Thank You" 8+ times during ANTIFA Roundtable on October 8?
19 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Washington" or "DC" during ANTIFA Roundtable on October 8?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$20.01Oct 20, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$2.39Oct 19, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?$0.63Oct 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$0.83Oct 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0.93Oct 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$5.48Oct 19, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?$5.48Oct 19, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Where are you from" during Australia PM events on October 20?$5.16Oct 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$8.27Oct 19, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$9.43Oct 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.89Oct 19, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.41Oct 19, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$12.25Oct 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$8.00Oct 19, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.00Oct 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$1.00Oct 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31?$1.00Oct 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$1.61Oct 19, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$2.00Oct 19, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$13.84Oct 18, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.