Firm-Document
0xfea5cae0017797b684c53c7fd085c48e870dee06
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-52.55
Win rate
31%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11?
160 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?
153 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-27.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13?
150 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?
147 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-40.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 12?
142 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?
139 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-38.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
138 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-43.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?
137 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?
136 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 11?
131 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-17.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$8.00Jul 27, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$6.00Jul 27, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$6.56Jul 27, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$13.00Jul 27, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.52Jul 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$3.45Jul 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.05Jul 27, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.65Jul 27, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$10.00Jul 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$6.56Jul 27, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.00Jul 27, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$6.95Jul 27, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$8.53Jul 27, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$4.17Jul 27, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$12.00Jul 27, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.01Jul 27, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$3.97Jul 27, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.01Jul 27, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.01Jul 27, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.01Jul 27, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 01:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.