Brief-Selfconfidence
0xfeac32a3342b16b9e8a91418d8ec82be5e1f167b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$31.28
Total PnL
$-67.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- TRUMP
Who will win Latino men?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$16.13
$11.13
- YES
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$15.15
$10.15
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
94 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump wins a solid blue state?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will JD Vance say "Trump" 50 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?
40 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Trump" 50 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?$0.80Oct 31, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$3.00Oct 26, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$5.00Oct 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$10.00Oct 23, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?$5.00Oct 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$5.00Oct 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPavel Durov leaves France in 2024?$10.00Oct 23, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran by end of 2024?$10.00Oct 23, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win Latino men?$5.00Oct 23, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnemployment rate over 4.1% in October?$10.00Oct 23, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.00Oct 23, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran in October?$10.00Oct 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$10.00Oct 23, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins a solid blue state?$10.00Oct 23, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".