Wary-Darkness
0xfeb671dace5959d620256ad424d99d5f8a9c6373
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$74.64
Total PnL
$1.23
Realised
$18.59
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
39 shares @ 26.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
26 shares @ 34.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.68
$-2.32
- NO
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
14 shares @ 36.3¢·now 40.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.61
$0.61
- YES
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$5.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 45.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
12 shares @ 41.4¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
17 shares @ 29.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.46
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?$1.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?$1.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?$1.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "BRICS" during events with Brazilian president?$1.023h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?$0.733h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?$1.013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beach" or "Pool" during events with Brazilian president?$1.013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" during events with Brazilian president?$1.013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?$1.033h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during events with Brazilian president?$1.023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?$1.036h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?$1.026h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" during events with Brazilian president?$1.026h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president?$1.026h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transnational" or "Foreign Criminal Organization" during events with Brazilian president?$1.016h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.036h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$2.946h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$5.0010h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
