Determined-Side
0xfeba704d5a234f56d6d0bed7319bc13471a8f0e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.95
Total PnL
$-280.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
935 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.47
$-2.34
- YES
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
622 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.31
$-1.55
- YES
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
189 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.09
$-0.85
- YES
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
158 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.08
$-1.34
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2563 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-179.42
- YES
Will Aidan Chiles be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
1016 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will Kyron Drones be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
815 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Keldric Faulk be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
692 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will Rueben Bain Jr be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
673 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- YES
Will Taylen Green be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
654 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.